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China vs US: Who is winning the AI race, in four charts

China vs US: Who is winning the AI race, in four charts

Summary

President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping will meet in Washington to discuss trade, AI, Taiwan, and the US-Israel war on Iran. The United States currently leads China in AI computing power, data centers, and spending, but Chinese AI models are growing more competitive and widely used.

Key Facts

  • The US holds nearly 75% of the world’s AI computing power; China holds just over 14%.
  • US company Nvidia provides over 60% of global AI computing capacity among major chip makers; China’s Huawei has a smaller share.
  • The US has more than 5,400 data centers, about 10 times more than any other country, and leads in AI-specific data centers.
  • Top AI models from both US and China are closely matched in quality according to user comparisons.
  • Chinese AI models are often cheaper and openly available to developers, increasing their use.
  • Chinese AI is estimated to be only months behind US frontier AI models, narrowing the gap.
  • US tech giants are expected to spend around $764 billion on AI infrastructure in 2026, much more than China’s estimated $102 billion.
  • A proposed US-China AI “notification mechanism” aims to alert each side about AI threats to national security before the summit meeting.
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