Labour likely to be biggest party in hung parliament, mega poll suggests – UK politics live
Summary
A new YouGov poll shows that if an election were held now in the UK, the Labour Party would be the largest party but would still fall short of a majority, leading to a hung parliament. The Conservatives and Reform UK parties are close in seat numbers, with the Conservatives slightly ahead in the poll's main estimate.Key Facts
- Labour would win about 241 seats, making it the largest party but without an overall majority.
- This would be a loss of 170 seats compared to the 2024 election results.
- Reform UK and the Conservative Party are close, with 123 and 130 seats respectively in the main poll estimate.
- The Liberal Democrats would have around 71 seats.
- The Scottish National Party (SNP) would have 40 seats, Plaid Cymru 15, and the Greens nine.
- 37% of seats are expected to be decided by a vote margin of five percentage points or less.
- The poll surveyed nearly 17,000 people between August 23 and September 18.
- Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party no longer has a strong chance of forming a government based on this poll.
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