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GOP May Win Governor Race in Democrat State for First Time in 44 Years—Poll

GOP May Win Governor Race in Democrat State for First Time in 44 Years—Poll

Summary

A recent poll shows Republican Christine Drazan leading Democrat Tina Kotek in Oregon’s governor race, a state that Democrats have held since 1982. The race is close, with Drazan at 47% and Kotek at 46%, and could result in a rare Republican win in a state that usually votes Democratic.

Key Facts

  • Christine Drazan, a Republican state senator, leads Tina Kotek, the Democratic governor, by 1 point in a new poll.
  • The poll surveyed 915 likely voters between September 17 and 27 and has a margin of error of 3.24 percentage points.
  • No Republican has been Oregon’s governor since Victor Atiyeh, who left office in 1987.
  • Oregon has not voted for a Republican president since Ronald Reagan in 1984.
  • Tina Kotek won the governor race against Drazan in 2022 by about 3.5 points.
  • Recent polls since the May primary have shown Drazan either tied or ahead.
  • Republican wins in statewide Oregon races have been rare, with the last one in 2016 for secretary of state.
  • National political analysts now see the Oregon governor race as more competitive for Republicans.
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