Republicans Face Midterms Disaster—What Polling Reveals
Summary
With one month left before the midterm elections, polls show Democrats leading or competitive in several key races that could decide control of both the House and Senate. Democrats need to gain four seats in each chamber to take control, while Republicans are relying on support for President Donald Trump to keep their majority.Key Facts
- The midterm elections are on November 3, with all House seats and 35 Senate seats up for election.
- Democrats need to gain four seats in both the House and Senate to win majority control.
- Recent polls show Democrats leading in six Republican-held Senate races: Alaska, Iowa, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas.
- Political forecasters have shifted some races toward Democrats, creating concerns about possible large losses for Republicans.
- The generic ballot poll shows Democrats ahead by over eight points on average.
- Republicans hope President Trump’s campaigning will increase voter turnout for their party.
- Republicans point to past polling errors that overstated Democratic enthusiasm, especially in states like Iowa, Ohio, and Michigan.
- Democrat Mary Peltola raised over $18.5 million for her Senate campaign in Alaska against Republican Senator Dan Sullivan.
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