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How El Niño Could Reshape Thanksgiving and Christmas Travel

How El Niño Could Reshape Thanksgiving and Christmas Travel

Summary

A very strong El Niño weather event is developing and may affect travel during Thanksgiving and Christmas in the United States. Southern states could face heavy storms and flooding, while northern states might have warmer and drier weather, which could mean fewer travel problems from snow or ice.

Key Facts

  • El Niño is a natural climate pattern where Pacific Ocean waters become warmer than usual.
  • The current El Niño is the strongest in 170 years, with ocean temperatures 3.05 degrees Celsius above average.
  • There is a 75% chance this El Niño will be the strongest since 1950.
  • Southern U.S. states like Texas, Louisiana, and California may experience heavy rain, flooding, and storms during the holiday season.
  • Flooding and mudslides could cause road closures and make travel harder in the South.
  • Northern states such as New York and Massachusetts may have warmer and drier winters, possibly easing travel problems.
  • Weather experts warn that warmer global temperatures caused by greenhouse gases can make flooding worse.
  • Past strong El Niño events, like the one in 1997-98, caused major flooding and road damage in southern California.
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