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Alaska Senate Seat Leans Democratic for First Time in 18 Years

Alaska Senate Seat Leans Democratic for First Time in 18 Years

Summary

For the first time in nearly 20 years, Alaska is leaning toward electing a Democrat to the U.S. Senate. Polls show Democrat Mary Peltola gaining ground against Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan, despite his support from President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance.

Key Facts

  • Alaska's U.S. Senate race moved from "toss-up" to "leans Democratic" by the University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
  • The last time Alaska leaned Democratic for Senate was in 2008, when Mark Begich won.
  • Mary Peltola is currently leading in recent polls.
  • Incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan has support from President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance.
  • Alaska uses a ranked-choice voting system that may help Peltola as the only Democrat.
  • Vice President JD Vance criticized Democrats for wanting to change Alaska's energy and political direction.
  • Sullivan won reelection in 2020 with help from President Trump's popularity.
  • Recent declines in President Trump's approval could hurt Sullivan's chances in 2024.
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