Three Senate Races Shift Toward Democrats with Midterms 4 Weeks Away
Summary
Three U.S. Senate races in Kansas, New Hampshire, and North Carolina have shifted toward Democrats with four weeks left before the midterm elections. These changes increase the chances that Democrats could gain control of the Senate, currently held by a narrow Republican majority.Key Facts
- The Cook Political Report moved Kansas from Lean Republican to Toss Up, New Hampshire from Toss Up to Lean Democrat, and North Carolina from Lean Democrat to Likely Democrat.
- Republicans hold a slim majority in both the House and Senate before the midterms.
- President Donald Trump won Kansas and North Carolina in the 2024 election, while Vice President Kamala Harris won New Hampshire.
- Democrats need to gain four Senate seats to take control; Cook estimates they could pick up two to six seats.
- Kansas Senate seat has been held by Republicans since 1919 but is now very competitive, with incumbent Senator Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton.
- New Hampshire has not elected a Republican senator in over 15 years; Democrat Chris Pappas leads Republican John E. Sununu in polls.
- North Carolina has not elected a Democratic senator in about 18 years; former Governor Roy Cooper is ahead of Republican Michael Whatley.
- President Trump’s declining approval ratings and economic concerns like rising prices are seen as factors helping Democrats.
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