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Josh Turek vs. Ashley Hinson: Latest Polls as Iowa Senate Hopefuls Debate

Josh Turek vs. Ashley Hinson: Latest Polls as Iowa Senate Hopefuls Debate

Summary

Democratic candidate Josh Turek and Republican candidate Ashley Hinson are competing for an Iowa U.S. Senate seat currently held by a retiring Republican. Recent polls show a close race, with some surveys slightly favoring Turek and others favoring Hinson, making the contest important for control of the Senate.

Key Facts

  • Iowa has not elected a Democratic U.S. senator in nearly 20 years.
  • Josh Turek is a Democratic state representative and Ashley Hinson is a Republican congresswoman.
  • A Suffolk University poll from October 1–4 shows Turek leading by 4 points (48% to 44%).
  • Other recent polls show the race to be very close, with small leads for both candidates in different surveys.
  • Prediction markets give Hinson about a 55% chance to win and Turek about 45%.
  • The Cook Political Report rates the race as a "toss up," and Inside Elections rates it as "tilt Republican."
  • The contest is to replace retiring Republican Senator Joni Ernst.
  • This race could impact which party controls the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election.
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