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Gina Hinojosa Chance of Beating Greg Abbott Flips With Pollsters

Gina Hinojosa Chance of Beating Greg Abbott Flips With Pollsters

Summary

A new poll shows Democratic state Representative Gina Hinojosa narrowly ahead of Governor Greg Abbott in the Texas governor race, 48% to 47%, with 5% undecided. If Hinojosa wins, she would be the first Democrat governor in Texas since 1995, while Abbott would set a record for longest-serving governor if re-elected.

Key Facts

  • The poll surveyed 3,622 likely Texas voters from September 28 to October 5.
  • Poll results have shifted throughout the year with no clear longtime leader.
  • Hinojosa leads among voters under 45 and gets strong support from Black and Hispanic voters.
  • Abbott leads among voters 65 and older and white voters without a college degree.
  • Gender divides voters: women favor Hinojosa; men favor Abbott by similar margins.
  • In a U.S. Senate race in Texas, Democrat James Talarico also leads Republican Ken Paxton.
  • President Donald Trump’s approval rating in Texas is low, with only 44% approving his job.
  • Different polls show varying leads, reflecting a tight and changing race.
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