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James Talarico Faces the Texas Turnout Test That Thwarted Beto O'Rourke

James Talarico Faces the Texas Turnout Test That Thwarted Beto O'Rourke

Summary

Democrat James Talarico is leading Republican Ken Paxton in recent Texas Senate polls, a closer gap than Democrat Beto O’Rourke had in 2018. However, success depends on whether Talarico can turn potential voters, especially younger and diverse groups, into actual voters, which has been a challenge for Democrats in Texas.

Key Facts

  • James Talarico has a small but steady lead over Ken Paxton in Texas Senate race polls.
  • Beto O’Rourke had a similar but less strong polling position in 2018.
  • Turning potential Democratic voters into actual voters remains a challenge.
  • Talarico is a former public-school teacher and Texas House representative since 2018.
  • Ken Paxton is the Texas Attorney General and has faced legal and ethical controversies, including impeachment articles.
  • President Donald Trump has endorsed Ken Paxton.
  • Recent polls show Talarico leading by 1 to 6 points among likely Texas voters.
  • Experts say candidate favorability may be influencing polling in a usually Republican state, but actual voter turnout is the key issue.
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