Will Ethiopia’s neighbours intervene as Tigray war escalates?
Summary
Ethiopian federal forces have taken control of the Tigrayan capital, Mekelle, after nearly two weeks of fighting with rebel groups, including the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). Despite this, the conflict continues in other parts of Tigray, with reports of Eritrean troops entering the area, raising concerns about a wider regional conflict.Key Facts
- Ethiopian federal forces entered Mekelle as rebel forces withdrew.
- The recent fighting ended a ceasefire agreement from 2022.
- Rebels have lost ground but pledged to continue fighting in the countryside.
- The conflict may become a long-term rebellion, similar to the fighting that began in 2020.
- Ethiopia is also facing armed conflicts in other regions, Amhara and Oromia.
- Egypt, Eritrea, Sudan, and Somalia are concerned about Ethiopia’s growing ambitions for access to the Red Sea.
- Ethiopia wants a sea outlet because it has been landlocked since Eritrea’s independence.
- The four neighboring countries held a summit to discuss regional cooperation and shared concerns but did not form a formal military alliance.
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