Elise Stefanik’s Seat at Risk for GOP After Trump’s 20-Point Margin in 2024
Summary
Elise Stefanik is leaving her seat in New York’s 21st Congressional District, where President Trump won by about 20 points in 2024. New polls show a close race between Republican Anthony Constantino and Democrat Blake Gendebien to replace her, with some surveys showing Gendebien slightly ahead.Key Facts
- Elise Stefanik, a Republican, is not running for reelection in New York’s 21st Congressional District.
- President Trump won this district by around 20 points in the 2024 election.
- A Siena University poll showed Democrat Blake Gendebien leading the race by 4 points.
- An internal poll from the Gendebien campaign showed Republican Anthony Constantino leading by 3 points.
- The district usually leans Republican but is considered competitive without an incumbent.
- Gendebien performed strongly among independent voters in the Siena poll.
- Stefanik has held this seat since flipping it from Democrats in 2014.
- Campaign advisers dispute some poll results, suggesting skewed numbers.
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