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Ohio Early Voting Data is Stark Warning for Jon Husted

Ohio Early Voting Data is Stark Warning for Jon Husted

Summary

Early voting data from Ohio shows more Democrats voting early compared to the 2024 presidential election, which may pose a challenge for Republican Senator Jon Husted in his race against former Senator Sherrod Brown. Recent polls show the race is close, with Brown slightly ahead, but early voting numbers are still low.

Key Facts

  • Jon Husted, a Republican Senator, is running in a special Ohio election against Democrat Sherrod Brown.
  • Early voting data shows more Democrats voting early than expected, even in Republican areas.
  • The gap between Republican and Democratic early voters in heavily Republican counties has shrunk from 30 points to 5 points.
  • In strongly Democratic counties, early voting is about 25 points more Democratic than before.
  • Early voting accounts for about 11% of total votes from the 2022 midterms in Ohio so far.
  • Polls show Brown leading Husted by a small margin, with averages between 1 and 6 points.
  • Prediction markets favor Brown by a larger margin, around 60-62% chance of winning.
  • President Donald Trump’s approval ratings are declining, which may affect Republican election outcomes.
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