Where the US midterm elections will be won and lost
Summary
Americans will vote on November 3 in midterm elections that will affect the final two years of President Donald Trump's term. Voters will choose members of the House of Representatives and the Senate, where Republicans currently have control, but Democrats hope to win both chambers because of Trump's low approval ratings.Key Facts
- The midterm elections include thousands of races across different government levels in the US.
- Republicans currently control both the House of Representatives and the Senate.
- President Trump’s approval rating has dropped from just over 50% at the start of his term to about 37% now.
- All 435 seats in the House are up for election; Republicans have a slim majority with exactly 218 seats plus one independent who votes with them.
- About 21 House districts are competitive (“toss-ups”); Democrats need to win at least 5 of these to gain control of the House.
- In the Senate, 35 of 100 seats are up for election; Republicans hold 53 seats while Democrats have 45 plus 2 independents who vote with them.
- Democrats need to win at least 8 seats (including 4 likely Democratic seats) to gain control of the Senate.
- Some key Senate races are in states President Trump won by large margins in 2024, making them difficult for Democrats to win.
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