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Three things we've learnt about the UK economy from the IMF

Three things we've learnt about the UK economy from the IMF

Summary

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) says the UK economy is doing better than expected despite global challenges from the war in the Middle East. The UK is forecast to grow moderately in 2026 but may face slower growth and higher inflation in 2027 due to high energy prices and interest rate increases.

Key Facts

  • The IMF predicts the UK economy will grow by 1.3% in 2026, up from an earlier forecast of 1%.
  • The UK is handling the economic impact of the US-Israel and Iran conflict better than expected.
  • The UK is expected to have the lowest government borrowing among G7 countries by 2031.
  • Growth in the UK is projected to be the second fastest in the G7 group this year.
  • Inflation in the UK is forecast at 3.3% for this year and 2.8% for next year, higher than previous estimates.
  • Higher energy prices and interest rate hikes may reduce consumer spending and business investment next year.
  • The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates at least once this year and possibly more in 2024.
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