The global economy is muddling through against the odds. But a storm is coming | Larry Elliott
Summary
The global economy is facing many problems, such as regional wars, energy shocks, inflation, and trade conflicts between China and the US. Despite these challenges, growth has been better than expected so far, helped by factors like artificial intelligence investment, oil stockpiles, and cheap Chinese exports. However, risks remain high, and governments face tough decisions on spending and cooperation.Key Facts
- Two major regional wars are disrupting prices and supply chains worldwide.
- Rising inflation is making it more expensive for governments to borrow money.
- The US and China are in conflict over trade policies.
- Growth has been stronger than usual despite historical challenges like oil shocks.
- The US leads in AI investment, boosting its economic growth within the G7 group.
- Countries used existing oil reserves to reduce the impact of supply loss from the Middle East.
- Cheap Chinese goods are lowering import prices but threatening manufacturing jobs in countries like Germany.
- Leaders warn that governments need to control spending and deficits despite voters wanting more support.
- Global supply chains are fragile, making national self-sufficiency a growing focus.
- International organizations like the WTO, IMF, and World Bank face challenges in promoting global cooperation.
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