James Talarico Is Winning Over Greg Abbott Supporters in Texas
Summary
Three recent polls in Texas show that Republican Governor Greg Abbott is leading in his race for a fourth term, while Democrat James Talarico is leading against Republican Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate race. Some voters who support Abbott for governor are choosing Talarico for Senate, giving Democrats a better chance than usual in Texas.Key Facts
- Greg Abbott, the Republican governor, is running for a fourth term and is ahead of his Democratic opponent Gina Hinojosa.
- James Talarico, a Democratic state representative, leads Ken Paxton, the Republican attorney general, in the Senate race in some polls.
- Abbott’s support among voters is higher than Paxton’s, meaning some Republicans who like Abbott prefer Talarico over Paxton for Senate.
- Talarico does especially well with white women who have college degrees and suburban voters.
- Paxton has lower favorability ratings than Abbott, with many voters viewing him negatively, including some Republicans.
- About one-third of Paxton's supporters said they only somewhat support him, while most Talarico and Abbott supporters said they strongly back their candidates.
- Paxton’s negative image might cause Republican voters to split their ballots, supporting Abbott for governor but Talarico for the Senate.
- This polling shows a rare opportunity for Democrats in Texas, where no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate seat since 1988.
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