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Poll shows Bolsonaro with slight lead over Lula ahead of Brazilian run-off

Poll shows Bolsonaro with slight lead over Lula ahead of Brazilian run-off

Summary

A new poll shows Senator Flavio Bolsonaro slightly ahead of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in Brazil’s upcoming presidential run-off vote on October 25. Bolsonaro has 46% support, while Lula has 44%, with the race too close to call.

Key Facts

  • Flavio Bolsonaro leads Lula by 2 percentage points, but the difference is within the margin of error.
  • Neither candidate won a majority in the initial vote on October 4, leading to the run-off.
  • Bolsonaro outperformed expectations in the first round by narrowly beating Lula.
  • Lula has held large rallies to gather support since the first vote.
  • Bolsonaro is gaining endorsements from right and center-right political parties.
  • Brazil’s Senate approved reducing the maximum workweek from 44 to 40 hours without cutting pay, a key goal of President Lula.
  • Lula recently banned sports betting to help reduce gambling addiction and household debt.
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