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America's Reddest State is No Longer Considered Safe For Republicans

America's Reddest State is No Longer Considered Safe For Republicans

Summary

Wyoming, the most Republican state in the U.S., is now seen as less certain for Republicans in the race for its only House seat. The election forecaster Inside Elections changed its rating from "Solid Republican" to "Likely Republican" due to concerns about the GOP candidate's popularity and President Trump's moderate support in the state.

Key Facts

  • Wyoming voted strongly for President Trump in 2024, with him winning over 71% of the vote.
  • The House seat is open because Republican Representative Harriet Hageman is running for Senate.
  • GOP candidate Chuck Gray, Wyoming’s secretary of state, is unpopular and faces a tough race.
  • Democratic candidate Lisa Kinney won her primary but has very limited campaign funds.
  • Inside Elections downgraded Wyoming’s House race from "Solid" to "Likely" Republican.
  • Other forecasters still expect Republicans to win the seat.
  • The race could be Wyoming’s closest House contest since 2006 and 2008.
  • Libertarian and Constitution Party candidates are also on the ballot for the House seat.
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