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In reliably blue Minnesota, could Democrats do the unthinkable and lose a Senate seat?

In reliably blue Minnesota, could Democrats do the unthinkable and lose a Senate seat?

Summary

Democrats are closely watching a Minnesota Senate race where the Democratic candidate, Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan, faces a stronger challenge from Republican Michele Tafoya than expected. Minnesota has not elected a Republican statewide since 2006, but recent polls show a tighter race, partly because of a fraud scandal linked to the current governor’s administration and Flanagan’s association with it.

Key Facts

  • Minnesota has not elected a Republican to statewide office since 2006.
  • Peggy Flanagan is the Democratic candidate and current lieutenant governor of Minnesota.
  • If elected, Flanagan would be the first Native American woman in the US Senate.
  • Republican Michele Tafoya positions herself as a moderate Republican and has not clearly stated her abortion stance.
  • The Cook Political Report changed the race rating from “likely Democrat” to “lean Democrat.”
  • Flanagan’s connection to the state government’s social services fraud scandal is a challenge for her campaign.
  • Minnesota’s legislature is split, showing the state’s political balance is competitive despite Democratic dominance statewide.
  • President Trump’s approval rating in Minnesota is low, and national Republicans have not heavily supported Tafoya’s campaign.
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