Who Will Win the Midterms? What Polls Show 10 Days Out
Summary
Ten days before the U.S. midterm elections, polls show that Democrats are likely to win the House of Representatives and are competing closely with Republicans for control of the Senate. Control of Congress will affect the lawmaking process and how President Donald Trump’s actions are reviewed during his last two years in office.Key Facts
- Democrats have about a 95% chance to win the House and around a 76% chance to win the Senate, according to the Silver Bulletin forecast.
- Other poll trackers like VoteHub, Decision Desk HQ, and RealClearPolling show a tighter race for the Senate.
- Control of Congress affects which party leads committees and oversees the president’s work.
- Key Senate races in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, Maine, Michigan, South Carolina, and Texas are very close, with less than a 4-point difference in polls.
- Democrat Mary Peltola leads in Alaska’s ranked-choice voting contest, competing against Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan.
- In Iowa, Democrat Josh Turek and Republican Ashley Hinson are running a close race.
- Kansas and Ohio also have competitive Senate races with small leads for Democrats.
- These election results will influence how much power each party has over the next two years of President Trump’s term.
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