Israeli elections: What are the possible outcomes?
Summary
Israel is set to vote on October 27 for all 120 seats in the Knesset, in an election that could reshape Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government. Polls cited in the article show neither main bloc near a majority, so coalition talks and possible support from Palestinian-led parties could determine who governs.Key Facts
- The election is the first since the Hamas-led attacks of October 7, 2023.
- Recent polling cited in the article projects 52 seats for the opposition bloc and 50 for Netanyahu’s religious-nationalist alliance.
- A party or coalition needs at least 61 of the Knesset’s 120 seats to hold a majority.
- Netanyahu could seek to form another government with traditional allies, including Jewish Power, Religious Zionism, Shas, and United Torah Judaism.
- Four opposition parties signed a pact in late September to work together to try to unseat Netanyahu.
- The opposition has not named a candidate to lead a government; the article identifies Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett as possible candidates.
- The Joint List and Ra’am, both Palestinian-led parties, are projected to win about 13 seats combined.
- Ra’am leader Mansour Abbas has signalled openness to joining an opposition-led coalition, while several opposition leaders have ruled out such an alliance.
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