Ballon d’Or 2026 predictions: Yamal, Mbappe and Kane – who will win?
Summary
The article previews the 2026 Ballon d’Or, with Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappe and Harry Kane among the leading contenders ahead of the London ceremony. Avisia’s AI model favors Yamal, while bookmakers favor Kane; Mbappe leads several individual scoring records, and the article says team titles may affect the contenders’ chances.Key Facts
- The award ceremony is scheduled for the London Palladium, less than 24 hours after the article was published.
- Avisia’s model gives Yamal a 23 percent chance of winning, Kane 21 percent, and Mbappe and Rodri 19 percent each.
- The article says bookmakers give Kane about a 70 percent chance of winning.
- Messi is listed with an 18 percent chance of winning a record-extending ninth Ballon d’Or.
- Mbappe scored 25 La Liga goals and 15 Champions League goals, according to the article.
- The article says Mbappe won the World Cup Golden Boot and set the record with 12 World Cup goals, but won no major team trophy in 2025–26.
- Kane scored 73 goals last season and won the Bundesliga with Bayern; England finished third at the 2026 World Cup.
- Diego Simeone and Marco Materazzi backed Messi, Jude Bellingham backed Kane, Anthony Gordon backed Yamal, and Aurelien Tchouameni backed Mbappe.
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