These key Senate races will determine which party controls the body next year
Summary
Thirty-five Senate seats are on the ballot on Nov. 3, and a small group of close contests could decide which party controls the chamber next year. Republicans currently hold 53 seats; Democrats need to gain four seats to take control, while Republicans can lose up to three and retain a majority with Vice President JD Vance’s tie-breaking vote.Key Facts
- Republicans hold 53 Senate seats, while Democrats and two independents hold the other 47.
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats to control the Senate.
- Republicans can lose up to three seats and keep control with the vice president’s tie-breaking vote.
- The article rates Michigan’s Senate race between Republican Mike Rogers and Democrat Abdul El-Sayed as Lean Democrat.
- Rogers lost his 2024 Senate race to Elissa Slotkin by fewer than 20,000 votes.
- Republicans have criticized El-Sayed over his policy positions and made attacks about his faith and ethnicity; El-Sayed has denied ties to terrorism and called the characterizations Islamophobic.
- The article rates Texas’s Senate race between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico as a tossup.
- Paxton defeated incumbent Republican Sen. John Cornyn in a costly primary runoff, aided by President Donald Trump’s endorsement.
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