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These factors could decide Netanyahu's fate in Israel's election

These factors could decide Netanyahu's fate in Israel's election

Summary

Israelis are set to vote in a closely contested election after years of conflict on multiple fronts. Polls suggest neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc nor the opposing change bloc is likely to win enough seats for a clear majority, raising the prospect of lengthy coalition talks or another election.

Key Facts

  • The election is the first since the Hamas-led attacks of Oct. 7, 2023, which Israeli authorities have described as the country’s most catastrophic security failure since its founding.
  • Israel has been fighting in Gaza, Lebanon and Syria and has had two direct rounds of conflict with Iran, according to the article.
  • Netanyahu, Israel’s longest-serving prime minister and leader of Likud, is seeking another coalition with ultranationalist and religious parties.
  • Netanyahu argues that he can form a government without Arab parties and needs more time to continue Israel’s military campaigns.
  • Polls differ on which bloc has the advantage, and most show neither likely to win a decisive majority in the 120-seat Knesset.
  • Israel Democracy Institute president Yohanan Plesner said an indecisive result appeared most likely.
  • U.S. President Donald Trump endorsed Netanyahu and said he might be disinclined to continue the joint campaign against Iran if Netanyahu loses office.
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