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Control of Congress is up for grabs. What's the math for Democrats and Republicans?

Control of Congress is up for grabs. What's the math for Democrats and Republicans?

Summary

With one week until the Nov. 3 midterm elections, Republicans are defending narrow majorities in both chambers of Congress. Democrats need a net gain of three House seats to win control; Republicans can lose up to three Senate seats and retain their majority if Vice President JD Vance breaks a tie.

Key Facts

  • All 435 House seats are on the ballot for two-year terms.
  • The House has 218 Republicans, 214 Democrats, one independent who generally supports Speaker Mike Johnson, and two vacancies.
  • Democrats need a net gain of three seats to reach a 218-seat House majority.
  • Thirty-five Senate seats are on the ballot: 13 held by Democrats and 22 by Republicans.
  • Republicans hold 53 Senate seats; Democrats and the two independents who caucus with them hold 47.
  • Republicans can lose three Senate seats and keep control if the chamber ties and Vice President JD Vance casts the deciding vote.
  • The election is scheduled for Nov. 3, 2026.
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