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Flanagan vs Tafoya: 3 Factors That Could Deliver GOP Surprise Senate Win

Flanagan vs Tafoya: 3 Factors That Could Deliver GOP Surprise Senate Win

Summary

The article says Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate race between Democratic Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya could be more competitive than expected. It points to the open seat and a Cook Political Report rating shift toward Republicans, while noting that Flanagan has stronger party organization behind her.

Key Facts

  • Senator Tina Smith is retiring when her term ends on January 3, leaving the seat open.
  • Flanagan is Minnesota’s lieutenant governor and has Smith’s endorsement.
  • Tafoya is a Republican and a former sports broadcaster with name recognition in Minnesota.
  • The Cook Political Report shifted the race from “likely Democrat” to “lean Democrat.”
  • The report cited a welfare fraud scandal and Flanagan’s underwhelming poll results as reasons for the shift.
  • University of Minnesota professor Larry Jacobs said Democrats have stronger organization, funding, and infrastructure in the state.
  • Political science professor David Schultz said Democratic Party fatigue and corruption concerns could help Republicans.
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