These House races could determine which party is in control in the next Congress
Summary
All 435 U.S. House seats are on the ballot on Nov. 3, 2026, and ABC News rates 16 races as tossups that could determine control of the 120th Congress. Democrats need to gain at least three seats to take control of the House.Key Facts
- The article identifies 16 House races as tossups heading into Election Day.
- Florida’s 14th District incumbent Kathy Castor faces Republican Mike Beltran after the state redrew the district.
- Florida’s newly drawn 22nd District is an open-seat race between Democrat Pia Dandiya and Republican Casey Askar.
- Iowa’s 2nd District is open because incumbent Ashley Hinson is running for Senate; Democrat Lindsey James faces Republican Joe Mitchell.
- Kentucky’s 6th District is open because Republican Andy Barr is running for Senate; Republican Zach Dembo faces Democrat Ralph Alvarado.
- In Michigan’s 4th District, Republican incumbent Bill Huizenga faces Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann.
- Michigan’s 7th District incumbent Tom Barrett faces Democrat William Lawrence.
- Michigan’s 10th District is open because incumbent John James is running for governor; Democrat Christina Hines faces Republican Mike Bouchard.
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