South Africa-Australia set for classic finale – what does history suggest could happen?
Summary
South Africa set Australia a target of 288 on day four of the third Test in Cape Town, after centuries from Ryan Rickelton and Wiaan Mulder helped lift the hosts to 387 all out. Australia face a difficult chase as the pitch turns more, but history includes a successful 331-run chase at Newlands by Australia in 2002.Key Facts
- South Africa scored 329 in their first innings and 387 in their second; Australia made 429 in their first innings.
- Ryan Rickelton scored 101 and Wiaan Mulder made 115 for South Africa.
- Australia need 288 runs to win on day five.
- CricViz’s WinViz model gave South Africa a 54% chance of victory.
- Australia’s successful chase of 331 at Newlands in 2002 is the ground’s highest fourth-innings chase.
- The pitch turned more sharply in the final session, and its PitchViz difficulty rating rose to 6.6, the highest of the Test.
- Whoever wins the Test will finish the series at the top of the International Cricket Council’s Test rankings.
- Australia opener Travis Head previously scored 123 from 83 balls in a successful 205-run fourth-innings chase against England.
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