Mike Lawler flipped a New York district red in 2022. But his ties to Trump might bite him in the midterms
Summary
Republican Mike Lawler faces Democrat Cait Conley in a closely contested race for New York’s 17th Congressional District. Lawler has won the seat twice, but his support for several Trump policies and voter concerns about living costs have become campaign issues.Key Facts
- Lawler flipped the district to Republican control in 2022 and won re-election in 2024.
- The district is in the lower Hudson Valley and has favored Democrats in recent decades.
- Lawler voted three times against a resolution to restrict Trump’s military action in Iran and supported the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.
- Conley has criticized Lawler’s alignment with Trump and says his votes have harmed Hudson Valley families.
- An Emerson College Polling and PIX 11 survey found 48% support for Conley and 46% for Lawler, with 7% undecided.
- A poll sponsored by Republicans found Lawler at 50% and Conley at 47%.
- The Cook Political Report rated the race a toss-up after previously labeling it lean Republican.
- Lawler has also opposed Trump on some issues, including efforts to raise the cap on state and local tax deductions and extend temporary protected status for Haitian immigrants.
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