Josh Turek's Chances of Beating Ashley Hinson—What Final Iowa Polls Show
Summary
Six polls conducted in October and early November showed a close Iowa U.S. Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek. Every reported lead was 3 percentage points or less and fell within the poll’s margin of error.Key Facts
- The candidates are competing to succeed retiring Republican Senator Joni Ernst.
- A Marist poll conducted October 8–11 gave Turek a 48% to 45% lead; its margin of error was 6.6 percentage points.
- A New York Times/Siena poll conducted October 26–November 1 showed Turek ahead 48% to 47%, with a 4.4-point margin of error.
- A YouGov poll conducted October 26–29 showed Turek leading 50% to 49%; its margin of error was 3.1 points.
- An Echelon Insights poll conducted October 16–23 gave Turek a 45% to 43% lead, with a 6.5-point margin of error.
- InsiderAdvantage and Emerson polls each showed Hinson leading 47% to 45%.
- The Cook Political Report rated the race a toss-up.
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