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House Election Tracker: 5 Key Races to Watch on Midterm Election Night

House Election Tracker: 5 Key Races to Watch on Midterm Election Night

Summary

The article examines the 2026 midterm contest for control of the U.S. House, where Democrats need to gain only a few seats to overcome the Republican majority. It highlights early results in competitive districts as possible signs of how large any Democratic gains may be, beginning with Kentucky’s 6th District and North Carolina’s 1st District.

Key Facts

  • All 435 House seats are up for election in the 2026 midterms.
  • Republicans hold 218 seats, Democrats hold 214, one seat is held by an independent, and two seats are vacant.
  • The article says Democrats need to flip only a few seats to take control of the House.
  • The Cook Political Report rated 18 House races as toss-ups and gave Democrats an edge in 222 races overall.
  • About 50 House contests were expected to be competitive, including races in Arizona, California, Colorado, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
  • Donald Trump carried Kentucky’s 6th District by 15 points in 2024; Democrat Zach Dembo and Republican Ralph Alvarado are competing for the seat.
  • Kentucky’s 6th District is based around Lexington and is open because Representative Andy Barr is running for Senate.
  • Republicans redrew the district represented by Democratic Representative Don Davis in North Carolina’s 1st District; Trump won the seat by about 3 points under the new boundaries.
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