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96 percent chance Democrats take House, 78 percent for Senate: Harvard model

96 percent chance Democrats take House, 78 percent for Senate: Harvard model

Summary

A recently updated Harvard University election model gives Democrats a 96% chance of winning a majority in the House and a 78% chance of winning a Senate majority in the midterm elections. These figures are model forecasts, not election results.

Key Facts

  • Harvard University recently updated its election model.
  • The model forecasts a 96% chance that Democrats will win a House majority.
  • The model forecasts a 78% chance that Democrats will win a Senate majority.
  • The forecasts concern the midterm elections.
  • The article reports probabilities rather than final election outcomes.
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