Exit polls show young voters swinging back to Democrats after Trump's 2024 gains
Summary
Preliminary polls indicate that voters ages 18–29 strongly favored Democratic House candidates in the 2026 midterms, reversing some of the Democratic gains among young voters seen in 2024. The surveys also showed Democratic support rising among young men and women, though differences in polling methods and the young electorate’s smaller share of voters make direct comparisons difficult.Key Facts
- CIRCLE estimated that 66% of voters ages 18–29 backed Democratic House candidates and 31% backed Republicans in 2026.
- The estimated Democratic advantage among young voters was 35 points, compared with 14 points in the 2024 national House exit poll.
- Democratic support among men under 30 rose from 51% in 2024 to 59% in 2026; among young women, it rose from 61% to 70%.
- In an SSRS survey, young white voters favored Democrats 63% to 34%, compared with a 50% to 48% split in 2024.
- CIRCLE estimated that 79% of young Black voters and 71% of young Latino voters backed Democratic House candidates.
- Young voters made up an estimated 11% of the 2026 electorate, compared with 12% in the 2022 midterms.
- The article says survey results cannot establish whether young Trump supporters switched parties or whether a different mix of young voters turned out.
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