Could Trump's Home State Flip in 2028? What Democrats' Florida Results Show
Summary
Florida Republicans won most congressional races and the special U.S. Senate election, but several contests moved toward Democrats compared with 2022. The results have prompted questions about whether Florida could be more competitive in 2028, though the article does not establish that Democrats can win the state.Key Facts
- President Donald Trump won Florida by about 13 percentage points in 2024, compared with a margin of just over one point in 2016.
- Republican Ashley Moody won the special Senate election with 50.9% of the vote, while Democrat Angie Nixon received 48%.
- Moody’s margin was less than three percentage points; Marco Rubio won the seat by more than 16 points in 2022.
- Four Florida House races were still too close to call when the article was published.
- Republicans did not immediately flip any of the Democratic-held House seats targeted under Florida’s revised congressional map.
- Governor Ron DeSantis said the prior map might have resulted in an 18-to-10 Republican-Democratic House delegation, rather than the likely 20-to-8 result under the revised map.
- Nixon did not receive funding from the Senate Majority PAC or the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, according to the article.
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