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AI helped the UK defy expectations – but will Britain’s resilience fizzle out?

AI helped the UK defy expectations – but will Britain’s resilience fizzle out?

Summary

The UK economy grew 0.7% in the third quarter, its fastest expansion in two and a half years, with IT and professional services accounting for about half of the increase. Analysts estimate AI-related spending added 0.3% to 0.4% to GDP growth this year, but uncertainty over technology investment, higher household energy bills and inflation could weaken growth.

Key Facts

  • The UK was the second-fastest-growing G7 economy this year, according to the article.
  • IT and professional services together contributed about half of the rise in economic activity.
  • Deutsche Bank estimates that AI-related spending added about 0.3% to 0.4% to GDP growth this year.
  • Household consumption rose 1.6% so far this year, supported in part by summer spending.
  • Average annual household gas and electricity bills are expected to rise above £2,000 in January.
  • Retail sales and consumer discretionary spending fell in September, while real wage growth cooled.
  • City investors expect at least two more quarter-point Bank of England interest rate increases, bringing the rate to 4.5% before the end of next year.
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