Map Shows States Where El Niño Could Have Biggest Impact This Winter
Summary
AccuWeather forecasts that a strengthening El Niño could bring a wetter, stormier winter to parts of the South and West, while much of the Midwest, Great Lakes, and Northeast may be warmer and drier than usual. The Climate Prediction Center says a strong-to-very-strong event is likely through January–March 2027, with about a 60 percent chance of a historic event during October–December and November–January.Key Facts
- AccuWeather says repeated storms could raise flood risks from the southern Plains through the Southeast and into the mid-Atlantic.
- The lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys could face heightened flooding risk, and some storms could bring severe thunderstorms or tornadoes.
- California could see atmospheric rivers that increase flooding and landslide risks while adding heavy snow to the Sierra Nevada.
- Western mountains could receive more snow than last winter, potentially increasing river and reservoir supplies when the snow melts.
- The Midwest, Great Lakes, and much of the Northeast are forecast to have warmer-than-average temperatures and less snowfall than usual.
- A significant snowstorm could still affect parts of the Midwest, Great Lakes, or Northeast in late January or February.
- AccuWeather says the California coast could face high winds and coastal flooding during storms, as well as elevated water levels between storms.
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