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Is Eric Adams Exit Bad for Zohran Mamdani's Chances? What NYC Polls Say

Is Eric Adams Exit Bad for Zohran Mamdani's Chances? What NYC Polls Say

Summary

New York City Mayor Eric Adams has decided to leave the mayoral race, which might reduce Zohran Mamdani's lead according to polls. Despite this, Mamdani is still expected to win by a significant margin over his main rival, Andrew Cuomo.

Key Facts

  • Eric Adams dropped out of the New York City mayoral race.
  • Adams left due to media speculation and a campaign finance board decision limiting his fundraising abilities.
  • Before Adams exited, polls showed Mamdani with a solid lead.
  • With Adams out, polls suggest Mamdani's lead over Cuomo may decrease slightly but remain strong.
  • A Marist University poll showed Mamdani with a 46% support rate after Adams's departure, down from 45% with him in.
  • A Quinnipiac University Poll showed a similar small reduction in Mamdani's lead once Adams left the race.
  • Adams had faced a federal corruption case, which was dismissed, involving campaign contributions.
  • Prediction markets give Mamdani a high chance (84.9%) of winning, with Cuomo's chance at 14%.

Source Information