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Swing States and Swinging Back: Dem Electoral College Math Is Getting Harder | Opinion

Swing States and Swinging Back: Dem Electoral College Math Is Getting Harder | Opinion

Summary

The article discusses how population changes affect the Electoral College and may make it harder for Democrats to win future U.S. presidential elections. Red states are gaining Electoral College votes while blue states are losing them, shifting the balance toward Republicans. This means Democrats will need to win more swing states to secure the presidency.

Key Facts

  • The Electoral College determines the winner of U.S. presidential elections based on each state's House seats.
  • Some states will gain House seats and Electoral College votes due to population growth; others will lose them.
  • Red states like Texas and Florida are projected to gain Electoral College votes, while blue states like California and New York will lose votes.
  • In 2032, even winning key swing states may not be enough for Democrats to secure a majority in the Electoral College.
  • As of 2024, key swing states include Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, and Arizona.
  • Population trends suggest Democrats will need to focus more on centrist policies to appeal to swing-state voters.

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