Summary
A poll by Quinnipiac University shows Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro leading Vice President J.D. Vance in a possible 2028 presidential election matchup. In the poll, Shapiro has 53% support, while Vance has 43%, with significant backing from independent voters going to Shapiro. The poll results indicate the electoral challenge that Vance may face in Pennsylvania, a key battleground state.
Key Facts
- The poll was conducted between September 25 and 29, involving 1,579 registered voters in Pennsylvania.
- It shows Shapiro leading Vance 53% to 43% in a hypothetical 2028 presidential election scenario.
- The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.3 percentage points.
- Shapiro receives overwhelming support from Democrats, while Vance is favored by Republicans, but independents favor Shapiro.
- Shapiro has a higher personal favorability, with 58% viewing him positively compared to Vance's 43%.
- Pennsylvania is crucial in elections due to its 19 electoral votes and history of close contests between parties.
- Vance has expressed an interest in potentially running for president in 2028 but acknowledges it's not guaranteed.
- Shapiro has not announced any plans to run in 2028 and remains focused on his role as governor.