June 13, 2025

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Has good weather helped to fuel record small boat crossings?

Has good weather helped to fuel record small boat crossings?

Summary

The Home Office reported a record number of "red days" in 2024-25, indicating favorable weather for small boat crossings in the English Channel. Alongside weather conditions, overcrowding in small boats has increased, contributing to a rise in migrant crossings this year.

Key Facts

  • In 2024-25, there were 190 "red days" that favored small boat crossings, marking an 80% increase from the previous year.
  • "Red days" are when the weather is likely or highly likely to support small boat crossings, as assessed by the Met Office.
  • So far in the current year, 14,812 people have crossed in small boats, about 40% more than in the same period last year.
  • Nearly 1,200 people crossed the Channel in small boats on one Saturday alone.
  • The government links good weather conditions to the increase in crossings.
  • Overcrowding on boats has increased, with 33 boats carrying 80 or more people in the year to April 2025, compared to 11 the previous year.
  • The total number of boats used for crossings dropped from 1,116 in 2021-22 to 738 last year.
  • The Home Office attributes the record number of deaths last year to overcrowding in unsafe boats orchestrated by people smugglers.

Source Information