Summary
The U.S. job market is currently balanced but could worsen if job openings decrease. A chart shows that even small reductions in job postings can lead to a significant rise in unemployment. The Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates to manage the risk of increasing unemployment.
Key Facts
- The U.S. labor market is balanced now but vulnerable to changes.
- A relationship between job openings and unemployment is shown in a chart called the Beveridge Curve.
- The Beveridge Curve suggests small cuts in job openings can quickly increase unemployment.
- In August, both the unemployment rate and job openings rate were 4.3%.
- The Federal Reserve is lowering interest rates to prevent a rapid rise in unemployment.
- Employers have reduced job postings since the peak over three years ago.
- Recent data shows a decrease in job postings, according to the Indeed Job Postings Index.