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James Talarico’s Chances Against GOP Candidates in Texas Senate Race—Poll

James Talarico’s Chances Against GOP Candidates in Texas Senate Race—Poll

Summary

A new poll shows Democratic candidates James Talarico and Colin Allred close behind Republican candidates in the Texas Senate race. This poll was conducted by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University. It highlights a shift in voter support, especially among independents, Latino, and Gen Z voters.

Key Facts

  • The poll surveyed 1,650 people and took place from September 19 to October 1, 2025.
  • James Talarico trailed by 3 points against Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, and by 6 points against Representative Wesley Hunt.
  • Colin Allred trailed by 1 point against Ken Paxton, 2 points against John Cornyn, and 5 points against Wesley Hunt.
  • Democrats see Texas as a critical state for regaining control of the Senate.
  • The poll indicates Republicans are losing support among independents, Latino voters, and Gen Z.
  • For the Democratic primary, 31% of respondents would support Jasmine Crockett, while 25% would back James Talarico or Beto O'Rourke.
  • The Republican primary shows Ken Paxton leading with 34% support, slightly ahead of John Cornyn at 33%.

Source Information