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Analysis: Why Pakistan and the Taliban won’t find it easy to patch up

Analysis: Why Pakistan and the Taliban won’t find it easy to patch up

Summary

Relations between Pakistan and the Taliban in Afghanistan have recently worsened, despite initially friendly expectations when the Taliban took power in 2021. Pakistan is facing increasing attacks from the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), whose leaders are based in Afghanistan, and efforts to resolve these tensions have not been successful.

Key Facts

  • The Taliban returned to power in Afghanistan in August 2021, initially with Pakistan's support.
  • Pakistan believed the Taliban would help prevent security threats in the region.
  • Recently, Pakistan conducted airstrikes in Kabul for the first time, signaling a breakdown in their relationship.
  • The TTP, a militant group from Pakistan, has increased attacks on Pakistan since 2021.
  • TTP leaders are believed to be residing in Afghanistan, complicating diplomatic efforts.
  • Talks mediated by the Taliban between Pakistan and TTP did not result in a lasting peace.
  • Afghanistan under the Taliban is isolated internationally, with very few formal recognitions and a struggling economy.
  • Afghanistan's economy faces severe challenges, including food insecurity and potential collapse of public services.
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