Summary
New Democratic polls show competitive races in two Republican-held congressional districts in Arizona and Wisconsin ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. President Trump's approval has declined, and Democrats aim to regain a House majority, although they face a smaller lead compared to past elections.
Key Facts
- Democrats target Arizona’s 6th and Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional Districts for the 2026 midterms.
- In Arizona’s 6th District, Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza; polls show a near tie.
- Wisconsin’s 3rd District is currently led by Republican Derrick Van Orden, with Democrat Rebecca Cooke slightly leading in polls.
- President Donald Trump’s approval rating has dropped since his re-election.
- Historically, the president’s party loses seats in midterm elections, adding pressure on Democrats.
- Democratic polls show less lead over Republicans now compared to the 2018 midterms.
- Generic ballot polls indicate Democrats have a narrower advantage than in 2017.
- The Cook Political Report rates both district races as "toss-ups," meaning they could go to either party.
