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Democrats’ Chances of Defeating Republican in Nevada Governor’s Race—Poll

Democrats’ Chances of Defeating Republican in Nevada Governor’s Race—Poll

Summary

A poll shows a close race for Nevada's governor in 2026, with Democrat Aaron Ford slightly behind Republican Joe Lombardo. Lombardo leads by 3 points, but a large portion of voters are still undecided. Nevada is an important state for both parties as it could indicate party strength before the 2028 presidential election.

Key Facts

  • The poll was conducted by Noble Predictive Insights from October 7-13.
  • Joe Lombardo, the current governor, leads with 40% support; Aaron Ford has 37%.
  • 23% of voters remain undecided, leaving the race open.
  • The survey's margin of error is 3.54%, meaning results could change slightly.
  • Nevada narrowly supported President Trump in 2024, shifting from a traditionally Democratic preference.
  • Both candidates have more favorable than unfavorable ratings among voters.
  • The state’s voters include 28.4% Republicans, 28.3% Democrats, and 36.6% independents.
  • Ford could become Nevada’s first Black governor if elected.

Source Information