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Who Is Winning New Jersey Election? What Polls Show 10 Days Out

Who Is Winning New Jersey Election? What Polls Show 10 Days Out

Summary

Democratic candidate Mikie Sherrill leads Republican Jack Ciattarelli by a small margin in the New Jersey governor race, according to various polls. New Jersey is one of only two states holding gubernatorial elections this year, and this race is seen as a test of Republican strength in a state that usually supports Democrats.

Key Facts

  • Mikie Sherrill, a Democrat, leads by 5 points over Republican Jack Ciattarelli in the New Jersey governor race.
  • New Jersey is holding a gubernatorial election to choose a successor to Democratic Governor Phil Murphy.
  • New Jersey has historically voted for Democrats in both gubernatorial and presidential elections.
  • Recent trends show Republicans gaining ground in New Jersey, with President Trump improving GOP performance in 2024.
  • Ten polls show Sherrill’s lead ranging from one to eight points.
  • A previous survey in May showed Sherrill leading by 13 points, but her lead decreased after military records about her time at the U.S. Naval Academy surfaced.
  • Most Democrats plan to vote for Sherrill, while most Republicans support Ciattarelli.
  • Independent voters are divided, with 49% for Sherrill and 40% for Ciattarelli.

Source Information