Summary
A new poll suggests Democrats have an edge over Republicans for the 2026 U.S. House elections. The survey showed more people believe Democrats are likely to win majority control of the House, raising concerns for Republicans and President Donald Trump’s legislative plans. Recent election victories for Democrats in key states add to the challenges Republicans might face.
Key Facts
- A YouGov survey found 41% think Democrats will win the House majority in 2026, while 30% think Republicans will do so, and 29% are unsure.
- Historically, the President's party typically loses seats in midterm elections.
- President Trump's approval rating is below 50%, which historically leads to larger losses in midterms.
- Democrats recently won significant victories in New York City, Virginia, and New Jersey.
- Young and Hispanic voters played a significant role in the victories for Democrats.
- In New York City, Zohran Mamdani won the mayoral race with record youth support.
- In California, Proposition 50 passed, which could change control of some Republican-held seats.
- A generic ballot shows a close race for the 2026 midterms, with 43% favoring Democrats and 41% favoring Republicans.
