June 29, 2025

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Fragile Iran-Israel ceasefire calms oil markets

Fragile Iran-Israel ceasefire calms oil markets

Summary

Over the weekend, oil prices rose to a five-month high after the US attacked Iran's nuclear sites, and Iran responded by targeting a US air base in Qatar. However, on Tuesday, oil prices dropped because Iran paused further attacks and did not close the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial route for global trade.

Key Facts

  • The US attack on Iran's nuclear facilities caused oil prices to rise sharply.
  • Iran responded by attacking the US Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar.
  • Oil prices fell on Tuesday when Iran paused further military actions.
  • The Strait of Hormuz is essential for global oil trade, handling 20% of the world's oil supply.
  • Iran's parliament proposed closing the Strait, but the final decision is up to the Supreme National Security Council.
  • If the Strait is closed, oil prices could rise significantly, with potential forecasts of $80 to $110 per barrel.
  • There is extra oil production capacity in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, which can temporarily lessen any supply issues.
  • Iran produces 4% of the world’s oil, with China buying nearly 90% of it due to global sanctions.

Source Information