June 27, 2025

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Iran's nuclear programme is damaged but is it destroyed?

Iran's nuclear programme is damaged but is it destroyed?

Summary

The United States conducted strikes against Iran's Fordo nuclear facility. A U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency report indicates the strikes have only temporarily set back Iran's nuclear program. A full assessment of the damage is still ongoing.

Key Facts

  • The Fordo site in Iran is considered one of the most monitored places globally due to its nuclear facilities.
  • The U.S. strikes aimed at Fordo did not destroy Iran's nuclear capabilities; they only delayed progress by a few months.
  • The initial assessment by the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) is labeled "low confidence" because detailed information is still being gathered.
  • Multiple bombs were used, but it seems the underground facility was heavily protected, preventing full destruction of the core equipment.
  • Iran's centrifuge machines, which are used to enrich uranium, might have been damaged by the attack.
  • Intelligence agencies are using various methods, such as satellite images and seismic detectors, to assess the damage accurately.
  • Before the attack, lorries were reportedly seen at Fordo, possibly moving enriched uranium and centrifuges to other locations.
  • Even with recent setbacks, Iran's nuclear program could still continue if relocated or reconstituted elsewhere.

Source Information